MatchFormula 試合を検索
Menu
UTC+8
タイムゾーンAsia/Shanghai
日本語
JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

FC東京 vs FC町田ゼルビア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC東京FC町田ゼルビア
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 33% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC町田ゼルビア win (29.3%)ダブルチャンス1X70.7%1.41
オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%Goals 2.5アンダー70%1.43
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
1.90 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FC東京 win38%2.63
引き分け33%3.03
FC町田ゼルビア win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC東京1.07

ホーム share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%

FC町田ゼルビア0.83

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FC東京

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FC町田ゼルビア

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.07
Expected goals
0.83
FC東京FC町田ゼルビア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC東京 signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC町田ゼルビア signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

FC東京 vs FC町田ゼルビア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC東京 勝ち 38%,引き分け 33%,FC町田ゼルビア 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · オーバー 2.5 30% · Current selection アンダー