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東京ヴェルディ vs 川崎フロンターレ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利32%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利39%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1東京ヴェルディ川崎フロンターレ
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
32% / 29% / 39%試合結果アウェイ勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)ダブルチャンス1271.2%1.40
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.65 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
東京ヴェルディ win32%3.13
引き分け29%3.45
川崎フロンターレ win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

東京ヴェルディ1.22

ホーム share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

川崎フロンターレ1.43

アウェイ share of expected goals 54%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

東京ヴェルディ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

川崎フロンターレ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
勝ち probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
1.43
東京ヴェルディ川崎フロンターレ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01東京ヴェルディ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02川崎フロンターレ signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

東京ヴェルディ vs 川崎フロンターレ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

東京ヴェルディ 勝ち 32%,引き分け 29%,川崎フロンターレ 勝ち 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー