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JPN Japan - J-League · Match ·

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger32%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
32% / 29% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dubbelchans1271.2%1.40
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Tokyo Verdy win32%3.13
Oavgjort29%3.45
Kawasaki Frontale win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tokyo Verdy1.22

Hemma share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Kawasaki Frontale1.43

Borta share of expected goals 54%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Tokyo Verdy

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kawasaki Frontale

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
1.43
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tokyo Verdy signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kawasaki Frontale signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tokyo Verdy vunnen 32%,Oavgjort 29%,Kawasaki Frontale vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under