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JPN Giappone - J-League · Partita ·

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa32%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
32% / 29% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Doppia Chance1271.2%1.40
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Tokyo Verdy win32%3.13
Pareggio29%3.45
Kawasaki Frontale win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tokyo Verdy1.22

Casa share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Kawasaki Frontale1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 54%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Tokyo Verdy

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Kawasaki Frontale

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
1.43
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tokyo Verdy signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kawasaki Frontale signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tokyo Verdy vinta 32%,Pareggio 29%,Kawasaki Frontale vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto