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JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

アビスパ福岡 vs ヴィッセル神戸

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利23%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利47%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利47% selection probability
Projected score1–1アビスパ福岡ヴィッセル神戸
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
23% / 29% / 47%試合結果アウェイ勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アビスパ福岡 win (23.2%)ダブルチャンスX276.8%1.30
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 36% · いいえ 64%両チーム得点いいえ64%1.56
1.86 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapヴィッセル神戸 winDifference-0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アビスパ福岡 win23%4.354.0023.2%-0.2 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
ヴィッセル神戸 win47%2.131.9547.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アビスパ福岡0.73

ホーム share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

ヴィッセル神戸1.13

アウェイ share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 36% · いいえ 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アビスパ福岡

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヴィッセル神戸

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
勝ち probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.73
Expected goals
1.13
アビスパ福岡ヴィッセル神戸
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アビスパ福岡 signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヴィッセル神戸 signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

アビスパ福岡 vs ヴィッセル神戸 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アビスパ福岡 勝ち 23%,引き分け 29%,ヴィッセル神戸 勝ち 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー