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JPN Japon - J-League · Round 1 ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur47%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 29% / 47%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Avispa Fukuoka win (23.2%)Double chanceX276.8%1.30
Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%Goals 2.5Moins de71%1.41
Oui 36% · Non 64%Les deux équipes marquentNon64%1.56
1.86 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapVissel Kobe winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win23%4.354.0023.2%-0.2 pp
Nul29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Vissel Kobe win47%2.131.9547.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.73

Domicile share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%

Vissel Kobe1.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 36% · Non 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Vissel Kobe

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.73
Expected goals
1.13
Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vissel Kobe signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka victoire 23%,Nul 29%,Vissel Kobe victoire 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Plus de 2.5 29% · Current selection Moins de