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JPN Japan J-League · Round 1 ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır23%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır47%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt71% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
23% / 29% / 47%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Avispa Fukuoka win (23.3%)Çifte ŞansX276.7%1.30
Üst 29% · Alt 71%Goals 2.5Alt71%1.41
Evet 36% · Hayır 64%Karşılıklı gol varHayır64%1.56
1.86 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapVissel Kobe winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win23%4.354.0023.2%-0.2 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Vissel Kobe win47%2.131.9547.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.73

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 29% · Alt 71%

Vissel Kobe1.13

Deplasman share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 36% · Hayır 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Vissel Kobe

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.73
Expected goals
1.13
Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vissel Kobe signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka kazanç 23%,Beraberlik 29%,Vissel Kobe kazanç 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · 2.5 Üst 29% · Current selection Alt