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JPN Japan - J-League · Round 1 ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg23%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg47%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
23% / 29% / 47%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Avispa Fukuoka win (23.2%)Doppelte ChanceX276.8%1.30
Über 29% · Unter 71%Goals 2.5Unter71%1.41
Ja 36% · Nein 64%Beide Teams treffenNein64%1.56
1.86 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapVissel Kobe winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win23%4.354.0023.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Vissel Kobe win47%2.131.9547.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.73

Heim share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 29% · Unter 71%

Vissel Kobe1.13

Auswärts share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nein 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkte4

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Vissel Kobe

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.73
Expected goals
1.13
Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vissel Kobe signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka Gewinn 23%,Unentschieden 29%,Vissel Kobe Gewinn 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Über 2.5 29% · Current selection Unter