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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Round 1 ·

Серезо Осака vs Фагиано Окаяма

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина47%
Равен27%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Серезо ОсакаФагиано Окаяма
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
47% / 27% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фагиано Окаяма win (26.6%)Двоен шанс1X73.4%1.36
Над 58% · Под 42%Goals 2.5Над58%1.72
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Серезо Осака win47%2.13
Равен27%3.70
Фагиано Окаяма win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Серезо Осака1.85

Домакин share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 58% · Под 42%

Фагиано Окаяма1.16

Гост share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Серезо Осака

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фагиано Окаяма

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Серезо ОсакаФагиано Окаяма
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Серезо Осака signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фагиано Окаяма signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Серезо Осака vs Фагиано Окаяма FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Серезо Осака печеливш 47%,Равен 27%,Фагиано Окаяма печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Над 2.5 58% · Current selection Над