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JPN Япония - Джей-лига · Round 1 ·

Сересо Осака vs Фаджиано Окаяма

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Сересо ОсакаФаджиано Окаяма
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 27% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фаджиано Окаяма win (26.6%)Двойной шанс1X73.4%1.36
Больше 58% · Меньше 42%Goals 2.5Больше58%1.72
Да 58% · Нет 42%Обе забьютДа58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сересо Осака win47%2.13
Ничья27%3.70
Фаджиано Окаяма win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сересо Осака1.85

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 58% · Меньше 42%

Фаджиано Окаяма1.16

Гости share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Нет 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сересо Осака

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фаджиано Окаяма

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Сересо ОсакаФаджиано Окаяма
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сересо Осака signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фаджиано Окаяма signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Сересо Осака vs Фаджиано Окаяма FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сересо Осака выигрыш 47%,Ничья 27%,Фаджиано Окаяма выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · ТБ 2.5 58% · Current selection Больше