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JPN Japonsko - J-League · Round 1 ·

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich47%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
47% / 27% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fagiano Okayama win (26.6%)Dvojitá šanca1X73.4%1.36
Viac 58% · Menej 42%Goals 2.5Viac58%1.72
Áno 59% · Nie 41%Oba tímy skórujúÁno59%1.69
3.03 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Cerezo Osaka win47%2.13
Remíza27%3.70
Fagiano Okayama win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerezo Osaka1.86

Domáci share of expected goals 61.4%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 58% · Menej 42%

Fagiano Okayama1.17

Hostia share of expected goals 38.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
1.17
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerezo Osaka signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fagiano Okayama signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerezo Osaka výhra 47%,Remíza 27%,Fagiano Okayama výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Viac 2.5 58% · Current selection Viac