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JPN 日本J聯賽 · Round 1 ·

大阪櫻花 vs 岡山雉雞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝47%
27%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝47% selection probability
Projected score2–1大阪櫻花岡山雉雞
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.558% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
47% / 27% / 27%比賽結果主勝47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 岡山雉雞 win (26.6%)雙勝彩1X73.4%1.36
大 58% · 小 42%Goals 2.558%1.72
是 59% · 否 41%雙方進球59%1.69
3.03 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
大阪櫻花 win47%2.13
27%3.70
岡山雉雞 win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

大阪櫻花1.86

主隊 share of expected goals 61.4%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 58% · 42%

岡山雉雞1.17

客隊 share of expected goals 38.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

大阪櫻花

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

岡山雉雞

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.86
Expected goals
1.17
大阪櫻花岡山雉雞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01大阪櫻花 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02岡山雉雞 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

大阪櫻花 vs 岡山雉雞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

大阪櫻花 47%, 27%,岡山雉雞 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · 大2.5 58% · Current selection