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JPN Япония - Джей-лига · Матч ·

Касива Рейсол vs Мито Холлихок

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Касива РейсолМито Холлихок
Expected goals3.05Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 25% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мито Холлихок win (19.8%)Двойной шанс1X80.2%1.25
Больше 59% · Меньше 41%Goals 2.5Больше59%1.69
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
3.05 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Касива Рейсол win55%1.82
Ничья25%4.00
Мито Холлихок win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Касива Рейсол2.14

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals3.05Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 59% · Меньше 41%

Мито Холлихок0.91

Гости share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Касива Рейсол

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мито Холлихок

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
1
2.14
Expected goals
0.91
Касива РейсолМито Холлихок
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Касива Рейсол signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мито Холлихок signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Касива Рейсол vs Мито Холлихок FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Касива Рейсол выигрыш 55%,Ничья 25%,Мито Холлихок выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · ТБ 2.5 59% · Current selection Больше