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JPN Japonia - J-League · Meci ·

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde65%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți14%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
65% / 21% / 14%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (14.5%)Șansă dublă1X85.5%1.17
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Egal21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
JEF Utd Chiba win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.95

Gazde share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

JEF Utd Chiba0.84

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Câștig probability excluding draw
14%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
0.84
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sanfrecce Hiroshima signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JEF Utd Chiba signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima câștig 65%,Egal 21%,JEF Utd Chiba câștig 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste