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JPN Japan - J-League · Wedstrijd ·

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst65%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst14%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
65% / 21% / 14%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (14.5%)Dubbele Kans1X85.5%1.17
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.79 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win65%1.541.4564.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp
JEF Utd Chiba win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.95

Thuis share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

JEF Utd Chiba0.84

Uit share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
14%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
0.84
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF Utd Chiba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sanfrecce Hiroshima signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JEF Utd Chiba signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF Utd Chiba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima gewonnen 65%,Gelijkspel 21%,JEF Utd Chiba gewonnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven