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JPN Japan J-League · Round 1 ·

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır30%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır40%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score1–1V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt58% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
30% / 29% / 40%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Çifte Şans1270.6%1.42
Üst 42% · Alt 58%Goals 2.5Alt58%1.72
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
V-Varen Nagasaki win30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.2029.5%-0.5 pp
Kyoto Sanga FC win40%2.502.3540.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

V-Varen Nagasaki1.09

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 42% · Alt 58%

Kyoto Sanga FC1.27

Deplasman share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

V-Varen Nagasaki

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Kyoto Sanga FC

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.09
Expected goals
1.27
V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01V-Varen Nagasaki signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kyoto Sanga FC signalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

V-Varen Nagasaki kazanç 30%,Beraberlik 29%,Kyoto Sanga FC kazanç 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · 2.5 Üst 42% · Current selection Alt