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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Round 1 ·

В-Варен Нагазаки vs Киото Санга

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен30%
Победа за госта38%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта38% selection probability
Projected score1–1В-Варен НагазакиКиото Санга
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 30% / 38%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Двоен шанс1269.9%1.43
Над 42% · Под 58%Goals 2.5Под58%1.72
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
В-Варен Нагазаки win32%3.13
Равен30%3.33
Киото Санга win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

В-Варен Нагазаки1.09

Домакин share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 42% · Под 58%

Киото Санга1.27

Гост share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

В-Варен Нагазаки

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Киото Санга

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.09
Expected goals
1.27
В-Варен НагазакиКиото Санга
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01В-Варен Нагазаки signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Киото Санга signalГост failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

В-Варен Нагазаки vs Киото Санга FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

В-Варен Нагазаки печеливш 32%,Равен 30%,Киото Санга печеливш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Над 2.5 42% · Current selection Под