Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 30% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Double chance1269.9%1.43
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki win32%3.13
Draw30%3.33
Kyoto Sanga FC win38%2.63
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.2%
Total expected goals2.36Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%
Away share of expected goals 53.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchV-Varen Nagasaki
LLDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchKyoto Sanga FC
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
32%
Win probability excluding draw
38%4
Points from supplied form
41.09
Expected goals
1.27V-Varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
V-Varen Nagasaki win 32%，Draw 30%，Kyoto Sanga FC win 38%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under。