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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Πόρτο vs Αλβέρκα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–02.67 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου68%
Ισοπαλία22%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου10%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου68% selection probability
Projected score2–0ΠόρτοΑλβέρκα
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω50% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
68% / 22% / 10%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αλβέρκα win (10%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X90%1.11
Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%Goals 2.5Κάτω50%2.00
Ναι 30% · Όχι 70%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι70%1.43
2.67 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–0
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Πόρτο win68%1.47
Ισοπαλία22%4.55
Αλβέρκα win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Πόρτο2.27

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 85%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%

Αλβέρκα0.40

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 15%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitΝαι 30% · Όχι 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Πόρτο

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλβέρκα

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.27
Expected goals
0.40
ΠόρτοΑλβέρκα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Πόρτο signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλβέρκα signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Πόρτο vs Αλβέρκα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Πόρτο νίκη 68%,Ισοπαλία 22%,Αλβέρκα νίκη 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Άνω 2.5 50% · Current selection Κάτω