MatchFormula Βρείτε αγώνα
Menu
UTC+8
Ζώνη ώραςAsia/Shanghai
Ελληνικά
PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Μορειρένσε vs Μπράγκα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου20%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου55%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου55% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΜορειρένσεΜπράγκα
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
20% / 25% / 55%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μορειρένσε win (20%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX280%1.25
Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%Goals 2.5Κάτω52%1.92
Ναι 51% · Όχι 49%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
8.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapΜορειρένσε winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μορειρένσε win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Μπράγκα win55%1.821.7055.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μορειρένσε0.98

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 37.7%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%

Μπράγκα1.62

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 62.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 51% · Όχι 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μορειρένσε

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπράγκα

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
55%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.62
ΜορειρένσεΜπράγκα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μορειρένσε signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπράγκα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Μορειρένσε vs Μπράγκα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μορειρένσε νίκη 20%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Μπράγκα νίκη 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Άνω 2.5 48% · Current selection Κάτω