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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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PRT Portugália - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Moreirense vs Braga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–22.58 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem19%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem56%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem56% selection probability
Projected score1–2MoreirenseBraga
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt52% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
19% / 25% / 56%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (19.1%)Dupla esélyX280.9%1.24
Felett 48% · Alatt 52%Goals 2.5Alatt52%1.92
Igen 50% · Nem 50%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen50%2.00
2.58 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
8.8 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapBraga winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moreirense win19%5.265.0018.8%+0.2 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Braga win56%1.791.6756.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moreirense0.97

Hazai share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 48% · Alatt 52%

Braga1.61

Vendég share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 50% · Nem 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Nyert probability excluding draw
56%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.97
Expected goals
1.61
MoreirenseBraga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moreirense signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Braga signalHazai unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moreirense vs Braga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moreirense nyer 19%,Döntetlen 25%,Braga nyer 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · 2.5 felett 48% · Current selection Alatt