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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Moreirense vs Braga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır20%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır55%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score1–2MoreirenseBraga
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
20% / 25% / 55%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (20%)Çifte ŞansX280%1.25
Üst 48% · Alt 52%Goals 2.5Alt52%1.92
Evet 51% · Hayır 49%Karşılıklı gol varEvet51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
8.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapMoreirense winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moreirense win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Braga win55%1.821.7055.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moreirense0.98

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 37.7%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 48% · Alt 52%

Braga1.62

Deplasman share of expected goals 62.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 51% · Hayır 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
55%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.62
MoreirenseBraga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moreirense signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Braga signalEv Sahibi unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moreirense vs Braga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moreirense kazanç 20%,Beraberlik 25%,Braga kazanç 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · 2.5 Üst 48% · Current selection Alt