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PRT Portugali Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Moreirense vs Braga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit19%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit56%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit56% selection probability
Projected score1–2MoreirenseBraga
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla52% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
19% / 25% / 56%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (19.1%)TopeltvõimalusX280.9%1.24
Üle 48% · Alla 52%Goals 2.5Alla52%1.92
Jah 51% · Ei 49%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
8.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapBraga winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moreirense win19%5.265.0018.8%+0.2 pp
Viik25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Braga win56%1.791.6756.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moreirense0.98

Kodu share of expected goals 37.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 48% · Alla 52%

Braga1.61

Võõras share of expected goals 62.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 51% · Ei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punktid11

SignalKodu unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Võit probability excluding draw
56%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.61
MoreirenseBraga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moreirense signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Braga signalKodu unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moreirense vs Braga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moreirense võit 19%,Viik 25%,Braga võit 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Üle 2.5 48% · Current selection Alla