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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Moreirense vs SC Braga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa20%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante55%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante55% selection probability
Projected score1–2MoreirenseSC Braga
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo52% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
20% / 25% / 55%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (20%)Dupla ChanceX280%1.25
Acima 48% · Abaixo 52%Goals 2.5Abaixo52%1.92
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapMoreirense winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moreirense win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Empate25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
SC Braga win55%1.821.7055.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moreirense0.98

Mandante share of expected goals 37.7%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 48% · Abaixo 52%

SC Braga1.62

Visitante share of expected goals 62.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

SC Braga

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
55%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.62
MoreirenseSC Braga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moreirense signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Braga signalMandante unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moreirense vs SC Braga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moreirense ganhou 20%,Empate 25%,SC Braga ganhou 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Acima 2.5 48% · Current selection Abaixo