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PRT 葡萄牙超級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

蒙拉尼斯 vs 布拉加

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝20%
25%
客勝55%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝55% selection probability
Projected score1–2蒙拉尼斯布拉加
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.552% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
20% / 25% / 55%比賽結果客勝55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 蒙拉尼斯 win (20%)雙重機會X280%1.25
大 48% · 小 52%Goals 2.552%1.92
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
2.59 total expected goals正確比分1–2
8.8 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gap蒙拉尼斯 winDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
蒙拉尼斯 win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
布拉加 win55%1.821.7055.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

蒙拉尼斯0.98

主隊 share of expected goals 37.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 48% · 52%

布拉加1.61

客隊 share of expected goals 62.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

蒙拉尼斯

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

布拉加

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
贏 probability excluding draw
55%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.61
蒙拉尼斯布拉加
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01蒙拉尼斯 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02布拉加 signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

蒙拉尼斯 vs 布拉加 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

蒙拉尼斯 20%, 25%,布拉加 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · 大2.5 48% · Current selection