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PRT Portugalsko - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Moreirense vs Braga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích20%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů55%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů55% selection probability
Projected score1–2MoreirenseBraga
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně52% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
20% / 25% / 55%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (20%)Dvojitá šanceX280%1.25
Více 48% · Méně 52%Goals 2.5Méně52%1.92
Ano 50% · Ne 50%Oba týmy skórujíAno50%2.00
2.59 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–2
8.8 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapMoreirense winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moreirense win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Braga win55%1.821.7055.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moreirense0.98

Domácí share of expected goals 37.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 48% · Méně 52%

Braga1.61

Hosté share of expected goals 62.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitAno 50% · Ne 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Výhra probability excluding draw
55%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.61
MoreirenseBraga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moreirense signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Braga signalDomácí unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moreirense vs Braga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moreirense výhra 20%,Remíza 25%,Braga výhra 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Více 2.5 48% · Current selection Méně