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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Moreirense vs Braga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy20%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości55%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości55% selection probability
Projected score1–2MoreirenseBraga
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
20% / 25% / 55%Wynik meczuWygrana gości55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (20%)Podwójna szansaX280%1.25
Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%Goals 2.5Poniżej52%1.92
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapMoreirense winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moreirense win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Remis25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Braga win55%1.821.7055.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moreirense0.98

Gospodarze share of expected goals 37.7%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%

Braga1.62

Goście share of expected goals 62.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
55%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.98
Expected goals
1.62
MoreirenseBraga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moreirense signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Braga signalGospodarze unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moreirense vs Braga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moreirense wygrana 20%,Remis 25%,Braga wygrana 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Powyżej 2.5 48% · Current selection Poniżej