Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
68% / 22% / 10%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alverca win (10%)Dubbele Kans1X90%1.11
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Onder50%2.00
Ja 30% · Nee 70%Beide teams scorenNee70%1.43
2.67 total expected goalsExacte score2–0——
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Porto win68%1.47
Gelijkspel22%4.55
Alverca win10%10.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 85%
Total expected goals2.67Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%
Uit share of expected goals 15%
Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 30% · Nee 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Porto
WLWLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAlverca
LDLWL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
68%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
10%9
Points from supplied form
42.27
Expected goals
0.40FC PortoAlverca
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
FC Porto vs Alverca FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Porto gewonnen 68%，Gelijkspel 22%，Alverca gewonnen 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.67 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Onder。