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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · Round 1 ·

FCポルト vs アルヴェルカ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–02.68 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利68%
引き分け22%
アウェイ勝利10%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利68% selection probability
Projected score2–0FCポルトアルヴェルカ
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー50% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
68% / 22% / 10%試合結果ホーム勝利68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルヴェルカ win (10%)ダブルチャンス1X90%1.11
オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%Goals 2.5アンダー50%2.00
はい 30% · いいえ 70%両チーム得点いいえ70%1.43
2.68 total expected goals正確なスコア2–0
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FCポルト win68%1.47
引き分け22%4.55
アルヴェルカ win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FCポルト2.28

ホーム share of expected goals 85.1%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%

アルヴェルカ0.40

アウェイ share of expected goals 14.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitはい 30% · いいえ 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FCポルト

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルヴェルカ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
勝ち probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.28
Expected goals
0.40
FCポルトアルヴェルカ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FCポルト signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルヴェルカ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FCポルト vs アルヴェルカ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FCポルト 勝ち 68%,引き分け 22%,アルヴェルカ 勝ち 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · オーバー 2.5 50% · Current selection アンダー