MatchFormula Buscar un partido
Menu
UTC+8
Zona horariaAsia/Shanghai
Español
PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Oporto vs Alverca

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–02.67 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local68%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante10%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local68% selection probability
Projected score2–0OportoAlverca
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de50% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
68% / 22% / 10%Resultado del partidoVictoria local68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alverca win (10.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X89.9%1.11
Más de 50% · Menos de 50%Goals 2.5Menos de50%2.00
Sí 30% · No 70%Ambos equipos marcanNo70%1.43
2.67 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–0
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Oporto win68%1.47
Empate22%4.55
Alverca win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oporto2.27

Local share of expected goals 85%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 50% · Menos de 50%

Alverca0.40

Visitante share of expected goals 15%

Projected score2–0BTTS split 30% · No 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Oporto

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alverca

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Ganado probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.27
Expected goals
0.40
OportoAlverca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oporto signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Oporto vs Alverca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oporto ganada 68%,Empate 22%,Alverca ganada 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Más de 2.5 50% · Current selection Menos de