Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
68% / 22% / 10%Esito partitaVittoria casa68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alverca win (10%)Doppia Chance1X90%1.11
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sotto50%2.00
Sì 30% · No 70%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo70%1.43
2.68 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–0——
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Porto win68%1.47
Pareggio22%4.55
Alverca win10%10.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 85.1%
Total expected goals2.68Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%
Trasferta share of expected goals 14.9%
Projected score2–0BTTS splitSì 30% · No 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchPorto
WLWLW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9
SignalCasa won 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAlverca
LDLWL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4
SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
68%
Vinta probability excluding draw
10%9
Points from supplied form
42.28
Expected goals
0.40PortoAlverca
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Porto vs Alverca FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Porto vinta 68%，Pareggio 22%，Alverca vinta 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.68 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sotto。