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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Round 1 ·

Порто vs Алверка

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–02.67 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина68%
Равен22%
Победа за госта10%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина68% selection probability
Projected score2–0ПортоАлверка
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под50% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
68% / 22% / 10%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Алверка win (10%)Двоен шанс1X90%1.11
Над 50% · Под 50%Goals 2.5Под50%2.00
Да 30% · Не 70%И двата отбора да отбележатНе70%1.43
2.67 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–0
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Порто win68%1.47
Равен22%4.55
Алверка win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Порто2.27

Домакин share of expected goals 85%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 50% · Под 50%

Алверка0.40

Гост share of expected goals 15%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitДа 30% · Не 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Порто

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Алверка

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.27
Expected goals
0.40
ПортоАлверка
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Порто signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алверка signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Порто vs Алверка FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Порто печеливш 68%,Равен 22%,Алверка печеливш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Над 2.5 50% · Current selection Под