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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Round 1 ·

ФК Порту vs Алверка

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–02.67 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев68%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей10%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев68% selection probability
Projected score2–0ФК ПортуАлверка
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
68% / 22% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Алверка win (10%)Двойной шанс1X90%1.11
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 30% · Нет 70%Обе забьютНет70%1.43
2.67 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–0
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Порту win68%1.47
Ничья22%4.55
Алверка win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Порту2.27

Хозяева share of expected goals 85%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Алверка0.40

Гости share of expected goals 15%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitДа 30% · Нет 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Порту

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Алверка

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.27
Expected goals
0.40
ФК ПортуАлверка
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Порту signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алверка signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ФК Порту vs Алверка FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Порту выигрыш 68%,Ничья 22%,Алверка выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше