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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · Round 1 ·

ジルヴィセンテ vs リオアヴェ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score2–1ジルヴィセンテリオアヴェ
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 26% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes リオアヴェ win (23.2%)ダブルチャンス1X76.8%1.30
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.71 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapリオアヴェ winDifference-1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ジルヴィセンテ win50%2.001.9049.3%+0.7 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp
リオアヴェ win23%4.353.9024%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ジルヴィセンテ1.91

ホーム share of expected goals 70.5%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

リオアヴェ0.80

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ジルヴィセンテ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

リオアヴェ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.91
Expected goals
0.80
ジルヴィセンテリオアヴェ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ジルヴィセンテ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02リオアヴェ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ジルヴィセンテ vs リオアヴェ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ジルヴィセンテ 勝ち 50%,引き分け 26%,リオアヴェ 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー