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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile50%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur23%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gil VicenteRio Ave
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 26% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rio Ave win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%Goals 2.5Plus de51%1.96
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.71 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapRio Ave winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gil Vicente win50%2.001.9049.3%+0.7 pp
Nul26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp
Rio Ave win23%4.353.9024%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gil Vicente1.91

Domicile share of expected goals 70.5%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%

Rio Ave0.80

Extérieur share of expected goals 29.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Rio Ave

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.91
Expected goals
0.80
Gil VicenteRio Ave
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gil Vicente signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rio Ave signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gil Vicente victoire 50%,Nul 26%,Rio Ave victoire 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Plus de 2.5 51% · Current selection Plus de