Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 26% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rio Ave win (23.2%)Dubbele Kans1X76.8%1.30
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.71 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapRio Ave winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gil Vicente win50%2.001.9049.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp
Rio Ave win23%4.353.9024%-1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 70.5%
Total expected goals2.71Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%
Uit share of expected goals 29.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchGil Vicente
WLLDW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchRio Ave
WDLDL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%7
Points from supplied form
51.91
Expected goals
0.80Gil VicenteRio Ave
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gil Vicente gewonnen 50%，Gelijkspel 26%，Rio Ave gewonnen 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.71 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven。