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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 29% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Doppelte Chance1271.1%1.41
Über 36% · Unter 64%Goals 2.5Unter64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Heim share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 36% · Unter 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 29%,San Marcos De Arica Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Über 2.5 36% · Current selection Unter