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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem42%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem29%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt64% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
42% / 29% / 29%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Dupla esély1271.1%1.41
Felett 36% · Alatt 64%Goals 2.5Alatt64%1.56
Igen 43% · Nem 57%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Hazai share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 36% · Alatt 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Vendég share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 43% · Nem 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Nyert probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers nyer 42%,Döntetlen 29%,San Marcos De Arica nyer 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · 2.5 felett 36% · Current selection Alatt