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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit42%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit29%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla64% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
42% / 29% / 29%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Topeltvõimalus1271.1%1.41
Üle 36% · Alla 64%Goals 2.5Alla64%1.56
Jah 43% · Ei 57%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Viik29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Kodu share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 36% · Alla 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Võõras share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 43% · Ei 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Võit probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers võit 42%,Viik 29%,San Marcos De Arica võit 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Üle 2.5 36% · Current selection Alla