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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 19 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 31% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Marcos De Arica win (29.2%)Dubbele Kans1X70.8%1.41
Boven 36% · Onder 64%Goals 2.5Onder64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Santiago Wanderers win40%2.50
Gelijkspel31%3.23
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.23

Thuis share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 36% · Onder 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.92

Uit share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
0.92
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 31%,San Marcos De Arica gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Boven 2.5 36% · Current selection Onder