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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 31% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Marcos De Arica win (28.9%)Double chance1X71.1%1.41
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Santiago Wanderers win40%2.50
Nul31%3.23
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Domicile share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers victoire 40%,Nul 31%,San Marcos De Arica victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de