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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου42%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Σαντιάγο ΓουόντερερςSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
42% / 29% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.1%1.41
Άνω 36% · Κάτω 64%Goals 2.5Κάτω64%1.56
Ναι 43% · Όχι 57%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς1.24

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 36% · Κάτω 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 43% · Όχι 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Σαντιάγο ΓουόντερερςSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σαντιάγο Γουόντερερς νίκη 42%,Ισοπαλία 29%,San Marcos De Arica νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Άνω 2.5 36% · Current selection Κάτω