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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır42%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt64% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
42% / 29% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Çifte Şans1271.1%1.41
Üst 36% · Alt 64%Goals 2.5Alt64%1.56
Evet 43% · Hayır 57%Karşılıklı gol varHayır57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 36% · Alt 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Deplasman share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 43% · Hayır 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers kazanç 42%,Beraberlik 29%,San Marcos De Arica kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · 2.5 Üst 36% · Current selection Alt