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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 29% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Doppia Chance1271.1%1.41
Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%Goals 2.5Sotto64%1.56
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Casa share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers vinta 42%,Pareggio 29%,San Marcos De Arica vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Sopra 2.5 36% · Current selection Sotto