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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 18 ·

Сантиаго Уондърърс vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен29%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сантиаго УондърърсSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 29% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Двоен шанс1271.1%1.41
Над 36% · Под 64%Goals 2.5Под64%1.56
Да 43% · Не 57%И двата отбора да отбележатНе57%1.75
2.15 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSan Marcos De Arica winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сантиаго Уондърърс win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp
Равен29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сантиаго Уондърърс1.24

Домакин share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 36% · Под 64%

San Marcos De Arica0.91

Гост share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Не 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сантиаго Уондърърс

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.91
Сантиаго УондърърсSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сантиаго Уондърърс signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Сантиаго Уондърърс vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сантиаго Уондърърс печеливш 42%,Равен 29%,San Marcos De Arica печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Над 2.5 36% · Current selection Под