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CHL Chile Primera B · Мач ·

Унион Сан Фелипе vs Депортес Реколета

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен29%
Победа за госта34%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Унион Сан ФелипеДепортес Реколета
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 29% / 34%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Двоен шанс1271.3%1.40
Над 45% · Под 55%Goals 2.5Под55%1.82
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Унион Сан Фелипе win37%2.702.4037.1%-0.1 pp
Равен29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Депортес Реколета win34%2.942.6034.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Унион Сан Фелипе1.23

Домакин share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 45% · Под 55%

Депортес Реколета1.23

Гост share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Унион Сан Фелипе

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Депортес Реколета

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
1.23
Унион Сан ФелипеДепортес Реколета
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Унион Сан Фелипе signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Депортес Реколета signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Унион Сан Фелипе vs Депортес Реколета FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Унион Сан Фелипе печеливш 37%,Равен 29%,Депортес Реколета печеливш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Над 2.5 45% · Current selection Под