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CHL Chile - Primera B · Partido ·

Unión San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Unión San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 29% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Doble Oportunidad1271.3%1.40
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Unión San Felipe win37%2.702.4037.1%-0.1 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Deportes Recoleta win34%2.942.6034.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Unión San Felipe1.23

Local share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Deportes Recoleta1.23

Visitante share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Unión San Felipe

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
1.23
Unión San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Unión San Felipe signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Unión San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Unión San Felipe ganada 37%,Empate 29%,Deportes Recoleta ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de