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CHL Chile Primera B · Mecz ·

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości34%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 29% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Podwójna szansa1271.3%1.40
Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%Goals 2.5Poniżej55%1.82
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union San Felipe win37%2.702.4037.1%-0.1 pp
Remis29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Deportes Recoleta win34%2.942.6034.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union San Felipe1.23

Gospodarze share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%

Deportes Recoleta1.23

Goście share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Union San Felipe

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
1.23
Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union San Felipe signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union San Felipe wygrana 37%,Remis 29%,Deportes Recoleta wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Powyżej 2.5 45% · Current selection Poniżej