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CHL Chile Primera B · Match ·

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger35%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
35% / 30% / 35%MatchresultatHemmaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dubbelchans1270.3%1.42
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Union San Felipe win35%2.86
Oavgjort30%3.33
Deportes Recoleta win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union San Felipe1.23

Hemma share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Deportes Recoleta1.23

Borta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Union San Felipe

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
1.23
Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union San Felipe signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union San Felipe vunnen 35%,Oavgjort 30%,Deportes Recoleta vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under