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CHL Chile Primera B · Spiel ·

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 29% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Doppelte Chance1271.3%1.40
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union San Felipe win37%2.702.4037.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Deportes Recoleta win34%2.942.6034.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union San Felipe1.23

Heim share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Deportes Recoleta1.23

Auswärts share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Union San Felipe

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
1.23
Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union San Felipe signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union San Felipe Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 29%,Deportes Recoleta Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter